Monday, March 3, 2008

Balloté by polls

Balloté by polls that give beaten by a short head over the city, Jean-Claude Gaudin follows an attentive eye campaign in the 3rd sector Marseille, a stronghold of right which, if switching, could well decide the fate of the city.

His Socialist challenger, Jean-Noël Guérini, was also understood, he has chosen to come on his land defy the former secretary of state Renaud Muselier, the teacher hitherto unchallenged in the 4th and 5th districts of the city for 13 years.

Nicolas Sarkozy garnered by the first round of the presidential election 33.50% vs. 26.48% for Royal, 15.16% and 12.78 Francois Bayrou% to Jean-Marie Le Pen. He still had garnered 54.78% of votes in the second round.

The fall of President Chirac in the opinion polls, however profoundly altered the.

"The impact of national arises. President loses ten points per month, it is inevitably affected. It is an image problem," analyzes the first deputy of the city.

"It turns out that our socialist opponent does not move in voting intentions, but that we are lowered and we nibble by the MoDem and the National Front", analysis he says.

A poll published by La Provence said that the two men are running neck-to-elbow in the second round of municipal balloting, March 16, each with 50% of voting intentions.

Renaud Muselier, however, is anticipated, March 9, by the Chairman of the General Council, which totals 40% of voting intentions against 37.5% against it.

FN IN THE ARBITER?

"I shall not conduct my campaign pace polls, but I put on the dynamism of my team," says Jean-Noel Guérini Strolling through the streets to meet the 90,000 inhabitants of these two districts.

"It should remain prudent, although I prefer that polls go in that direction rather than the other," he says.

If he wants to succeed in 2014 to Jean-Claude Gaudin as head of the city - if it wins this month -, Renaud Muselier can not afford a defeat in his stronghold facing the leader of a left leaving united in battle.

It must also take into account the strong revival in form of the National Front, which could well find itself in a position to arbitrate this duel between the two heavyweights of politics Marseillaise.

The presence of a list of the Movement for the Republic (MNR) Bruno Mégret, the one presented on the eight sectors of the city, banned him for the moment the possibility of provoking a triangle in the second round.

"The polls put us just below the limit of 10%," admits the leader of the right-wing formation, Stéphane Ravier. "Our voters feel betrayed by Sarkozy, they return to the fold," he says.

Oscillating between 7% and 9% of voting intentions on the city, credited with 6.5% on this key sector, he also hopes MoDem pull the chestnuts of fire by being "the inevitable third man."

"On the evening of the first round, we get to Gaudin and Guérini to put in place a new policy for Marseille," says Jean-Luc Bennahmias, former deputy of the Greens became bridgehead party Francois Bayrou in Marseille.

"I never imagined that this campaign would be a river," a bit fatalistic, Jean-Claude Gaudin.

The mayor of Marseille UMP seeks third consecutive term at the head of the second largest city in France.

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